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Wall Street Conservative

November 20, 2024

Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT) today announced its third quarter 2024 financial results, reflecting comparable sales growth driven entirely by traffic and strength in the digital channel.

The Company reported third quarter GAAP and Adjusted earnings per share1 (EPS) of $1.85, compared with $2.10 in 2023. The attached tables provide a reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures. All earnings per share figures refer to diluted EPS.

1Adjusted EPS, a non-GAAP financial measure, excludes the impact of certain discretely managed items, when applicable. See the tables of this release for additional information.

“I’m proud of our team’s efforts to navigate through a volatile operating environment during the third quarter. We saw several strengths across the business, including a 2.4 percent increase in traffic, nearly 11 percent growth in the digital channel, and continued growth in beauty and frequency categories. At the same time, we encountered some unique challenges and cost pressures that impacted our bottom-line performance,” said Brian Cornell, chair and chief executive officer of Target Corporation. “Looking ahead, our team is energized and ready to deliver the unique combination of newness and value that holiday shoppers can only find at Target, and we remain confident in the underlying strength and fundamentals of our business, and our ability to deliver on our longer-term financial goals.”

Guidance

For the fourth quarter, the Company expects approximately flat comparable sales and GAAP and Adjusted EPS of $1.85 to $2.45, translating to a full year expected GAAP and Adjusted EPS range of $8.30 to $8.90.

Operating Results

Comparable sales increased 0.3 percent in the third quarter, reflecting a comparable store sales decline of 1.9 percent and a comparable digital sales increase of 10.8 percent. Total revenue of $25.7 billion in the third quarter was 1.1 percent higher than last year, reflecting a total sales increase of 0.9 percent and an 11.5 percent increase in other revenue. Third quarter operating income of $1.2 billion was 11.2 percent lower than last year.

Third quarter operating income margin rate was 4.6 percent in 2024, compared with 5.2 percent in 2023. Third quarter gross margin rate was 27.2 percent, compared with 27.4 percent in 2023, reflecting higher digital fulfillment and supply chain costs due to the cost of managing higher inventory levels, increased digital sales volume, and new supply chain facilities coming online, partially offset by lower book to physical inventory adjustments and the net impact of merchandising activities as compared to the prior year.  Third quarter SG&A expense rate was 21.4 percent in 2024, compared with 20.9 percent in 2023, reflecting the combined impact of higher costs, including higher team member pay and benefits and higher general liability expenses, partially offset by disciplined cost management.

Interest Expense and Taxes

The Company’s third quarter 2024 net interest expense was $105 million, compared with $107 million last year.

Third quarter 2024 effective income tax rate was 21.7 percent, compared with the prior year rate of 21.3 percent, reflecting lower discrete benefits in the current year.

Capital Deployment and Return on Invested Capital

The Company paid dividends of $516 million in the third quarter, compared with $507 million last year, reflecting a 1.8 percent increase in the dividend per share.

The Company repurchased $354 million of its shares in the third quarter, retiring 2.4 million shares of common stock at an average price of $147.43.  As of the end of the quarter, the Company had approximately $9.2 billion of remaining capacity under the repurchase program approved by Target’s Board of Directors in August 2021.

For the trailing twelve months through third quarter 2024, after-tax return on invested capital (ROIC) was 15.9 percent, compared with 13.9 percent for the trailing twelve months through third quarter 2023. The increase in ROIC reflects higher operating income, partially offset by higher average invested capital. The tables in this release provide additional information about the Company’s ROIC calculation.

Webcast Details

Target will webcast its third quarter earnings conference call at 7:00 a.m. CT today. Investors and the media are invited to listen to the meeting at Corporate.Target.com/Investors (click on “Q3 2024 Target Corporation Earnings Conference Call” under “Events & Presentations”). A replay of the webcast will be provided when available. The replay number is 1-800-513-1169.

Miscellaneous

Statements in this release regarding the Company’s future financial performance, including its fiscal 2024 fourth quarter and full-year guidance, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties which could cause the Company’s results to differ materially. The most important risks and uncertainties are described in Item 1A of the Company’s Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2024. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and the Company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statement.

About Target

Minneapolis-based Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT) serves guests at nearly 2,000 stores and at Target.com, with the purpose of helping all families discover the joy of everyday life. Since 1946, Target has given 5% of its profit to communities, which today equals millions of dollars a week. Additional company information can be found by visiting the corporate website (corporate.target.com) and press center.

TARGET CORPORATION

Consolidated Statements of Operations

Three Months Ended

Nine Months Ended

(millions, except per share data) (unaudited)

November 2,
2024

October 28,
2023

Change

November 2,
2024

October 28,
2023

Change

Sales

$       25,228

$       25,004

0.9 %

$       74,392

$       74,336

0.1 %

Other revenue

440

394

11.5

1,259

1,157

8.8

Total revenue

25,668

25,398

1.1

75,651

75,493

0.2

Cost of sales

18,375

18,149

1.2

53,623

54,333

(1.3)

Selling, general and administrative expenses

5,486

5,316

3.2

16,046

15,525

3.4

Depreciation and amortization (exclusive of
depreciation included in cost of sales)

639

616

3.6

1,883

1,793

5.0

Operating income

1,168

1,317

(11.2)

4,099

3,842

6.7

Net interest expense

105

107

(1.5)

321

395

(18.7)

Net other income

(28)

(25)

11.0

(77)

(64)

19.0

Earnings before income taxes

1,091

1,235

(11.6)

3,855

3,511

9.8

Provision for income taxes

237

264

(9.9)

867

755

14.9

Net earnings

$            854

$            971

(12.1) %

$         2,988

$         2,756

8.4 %

Basic earnings per share

$           1.86

$           2.10

(11.8) %

$           6.47

$           5.97

8.3 %

Diluted earnings per share

$           1.85

$           2.10

(11.9) %

$           6.45

$           5.96

8.3 %

Weighted average common shares outstanding

Basic

460.1

461.6

(0.3) %

461.6

461.4

0.1 %

Diluted

461.5

462.6

(0.2) %

462.9

462.7

0.1 %

Antidilutive shares

0.5

3.0

0.5

2.6

Dividends declared per share

$           1.12

$           1.10

1.8 %

$           3.34

$           3.28

1.8 %

TARGET CORPORATION

Consolidated Statements of Financial Position

(millions, except footnotes) (unaudited)

November 2, 2024

February 3, 2024

October 28, 2023

Assets

Cash and cash equivalents

$              3,433

$              3,805

$             1,910

Inventory

15,165

11,886

14,731

Other current assets

1,956

1,807

1,958

Total current assets

20,554

17,498

18,599

Property and equipment

Land

6,666

6,547

6,520

Buildings and improvements

38,666

37,066

36,627

Fixtures and equipment

8,840

8,765

8,490

Computer hardware and software

3,549

3,428

3,312

Construction-in-progress

758

1,703

2,000

Accumulated depreciation

(25,548)

(24,413)

(23,781)

Property and equipment, net

32,931

33,096

33,168

Operating lease assets

3,513

3,362

3,086

Other noncurrent assets

1,533

1,400

1,376

Total assets

$           58,531

$           55,356

$           56,229

Liabilities and shareholders’ investment

Accounts payable

$           14,419

$           12,098

$           14,291

Accrued and other current liabilities

5,738

6,090

6,099

Current portion of long-term debt and other borrowings

1,635

1,116

1,112

Total current liabilities

21,792

19,304

21,502

Long-term debt and other borrowings

14,346

14,922

14,883

Noncurrent operating lease liabilities

3,418

3,279

3,031

Deferred income taxes

2,419

2,480

2,447

Other noncurrent liabilities

2,067

1,939

1,852

Total noncurrent liabilities

22,250

22,620

22,213

Shareholders’ investment

Common stock

38

38

38

Additional paid-in capital

6,916

6,761

6,681

Retained earnings

8,009

7,093

6,225

Accumulated other comprehensive loss

(474)

(460)

(430)

Total shareholders’ investment

14,489

13,432

12,514

Total liabilities and shareholders’ investment

$           58,531

$           55,356

$           56,229

Common Stock Authorized 6,000,000,000 shares, $0.0833 par value; 459,244,995, 461,675,441, and 461,651,176 shares issued and outstanding as of November 2, 2024, February 3, 2024, and October 28, 2023, respectively.

Preferred Stock Authorized 5,000,000 shares, $0.01 par value; no shares were issued or outstanding during any period presented.

TARGET CORPORATION

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

Nine Months Ended

(millions) (unaudited)

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

Operating activities

Net earnings

$           2,988

$           2,756

Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to cash provided by operating activities:

Depreciation and amortization

2,215

2,072

Share-based compensation expense

229

176

Deferred income taxes

(58)

252

Noncash (gains) / losses and other, net

(1)

101

Changes in operating accounts:

Inventory

(3,279)

(1,232)

Other assets

(265)

(208)

Accounts payable

2,362

887

Accrued and other liabilities

(113)

528

Cash provided by operating activities

4,078

5,332

Investing activities

Expenditures for property and equipment

(1,968)

(3,952)

Proceeds from disposal of property and equipment

2

24

Other investments

24

18

Cash required for investing activities

(1,942)

(3,910)

Financing activities

Additions to long-term debt

741

Reductions of long-term debt

(1,112)

(114)

Dividends paid

(1,533)

(1,503)

Repurchase of stock

(506)

Shares withheld for taxes on share-based compensation

(98)

(124)

Cash required for financing activities

(2,508)

(1,741)

Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents

(372)

(319)

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period

3,805

2,229

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

$           3,433

$           1,910

TARGET CORPORATION

Operating Results

Rate Analysis

Three Months Ended

Nine Months Ended

(unaudited)

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

Gross margin rate

27.2 %

27.4 %

27.9 %

26.9 %

SG&A expense rate

21.4

20.9

21.2

20.6

Depreciation and amortization expense rate (exclusive of
depreciation included in cost of sales)

2.5

2.4

2.5

2.4

Operating income margin rate

4.6

5.2

5.4

5.1

Note: Gross margin rate is calculated as gross margin (sales less cost of sales) divided by sales. All other rates are calculated by dividing the applicable amount by total revenue. Other revenue includes $148 million and $433 million of profit-sharing income under our credit card program agreement for the three and nine months ended November 2, 2024, respectively, and $165 million and $508 million for the three and nine months ended October 28, 2023, respectively.

Comparable Sales

Three Months Ended

Nine Months Ended

(unaudited)

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

Comparable sales change

0.3 %

(4.9) %

(0.5) %

(3.5) %

Drivers of change in comparable sales

Number of transactions (traffic)

2.4

(4.1)

1.1

(2.7)

Average transaction amount

(2.0)

(0.8)

(1.6)

(0.8)

Comparable Sales by Channel

Three Months Ended

Nine Months Ended

(unaudited)

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

Stores originated comparable sales change

(1.9) %

(4.6) %

(2.0) %

(2.8) %

Digitally originated comparable sales change

10.8

(6.0)

6.9

(6.7)

Sales by Channel

Three Months Ended

Nine Months Ended

(unaudited)

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

Stores originated

81.5 %

83.2 %

81.8 %

82.9 %

Digitally originated

18.5

16.8

18.2

17.1

Total

100 %

100 %

100 %

100 %

Sales by Fulfillment Channel

Three Months Ended

Nine Months Ended

(unaudited)

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

Stores

97.7 %

97.7 %

97.8 %

97.5 %

Other

2.3

2.3

2.2

2.5

Total

100 %

100 %

100 %

100 %

Note: Sales fulfilled by stores include in-store purchases and digitally originated sales fulfilled by shipping merchandise from stores to guests, Order Pickup, Drive Up, and Shipt.

Target Circle Card Penetration

Three Months Ended

Nine Months Ended

(unaudited)

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

Total Target Circle Card Penetration

17.7 %

18.3 %

17.8 %

18.6 %

Number of Stores and Retail Square Feet

Number of Stores

Retail Square Feet (a)

(unaudited)

November 2,
2024

February 3,
2024

October 28,
2023

November 2,
2024

February 3,
2024

October 28,
2023

170,000 or more sq. ft.

273

273

273

48,824

48,824

48,824

50,000 to 169,999 sq. ft.

1,559

1,542

1,542

195,050

192,908

192,877

49,999 or less sq. ft.

146

141

141

4,404

4,207

4,207

Total

1,978

1,956

1,956

248,278

245,939

245,908

(a) 

In thousands; reflects total square feet less office, supply chain facilities, and vacant space.

TARGET CORPORATION

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

To provide additional transparency, we disclose non-GAAP adjusted diluted earnings per share (Adjusted EPS). When applicable, this metric excludes certain discretely managed items. However, there are no adjustments in any period presented. We believe this information is useful in providing period-to-period comparisons of the results of our operations. This measure is not in accordance with, or an alternative to, U.S. GAAP. The most comparable GAAP measure is diluted earnings per share. Adjusted EPS should not be considered in isolation or as a substitution for analysis of our results as reported in accordance with GAAP. Other companies may calculate Adjusted EPS differently, limiting the usefulness of the measure for comparisons with other companies.

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP

Adjusted EPS

Three Months Ended

Nine Months Ended

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

Change

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

Change

GAAP and adjusted diluted earnings per share

$           1.85

$           2.10

(11.9) %

$           6.45

$           5.96

8.3 %

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP

Adjusted EPS Guidance

Guidance

(per share) (unaudited)

Q4 2024

Full Year 2024

GAAP diluted earnings per share guidance

$1.85 – $2.45

$8.30 – $8.90

Estimated adjustments

Other (a)

$               —

$               —

Adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance

$1.85 – $2.45

$8.30 – $8.90

(a)

Fourth quarter and full-year 2024 GAAP EPS may include the impact of certain discrete items, which will be excluded in calculating Adjusted EPS. The guidance does not currently reflect any such discrete items. In the past, these items have included losses on the early retirement of debt and certain other items that are discretely managed.

Earnings before interest expense and income taxes (EBIT) and earnings before interest expense, income taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) are non-GAAP financial measures. We believe these measures provide meaningful information about our operational efficiency compared with our competitors by excluding the impact of differences in tax jurisdictions and structures, debt levels, and, for EBITDA, capital investment. These measures are not in accordance with, or an alternative to, GAAP. The most comparable GAAP measure is net earnings. EBIT and EBITDA should not be considered in isolation or as a substitution for analysis of our results as reported in accordance with GAAP. Other companies may calculate EBIT and EBITDA differently, limiting the usefulness of the measures for comparisons with other companies.

EBIT and EBITDA

Three Months Ended

Nine Months Ended

(dollars in millions) (unaudited)

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

Change

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

Change

Net earnings

$            854

$            971

(12.1) %

$         2,988

$         2,756

8.4 %

 + Provision for income taxes

237

264

(9.9)

867

755

14.9

 + Net interest expense

105

107

(1.5)

321

395

(18.7)

EBIT

$         1,196

$         1,342

(10.8) %

$         4,176

$         3,906

6.9 %

 + Total depreciation and amortization (a)

754

722

4.2

2,215

2,072

6.8

EBITDA

$         1,950

$         2,064

(5.5) %

$         6,391

$         5,978

6.9 %

(a)

Represents total depreciation and amortization, including amounts classified within Depreciation and Amortization and within Cost of Sales.

We have also disclosed after-tax ROIC, which is a ratio based on GAAP information, with the exception of the add-back of operating lease interest to operating income. We believe this metric is useful in assessing the effectiveness of our capital allocation over time. Other companies may calculate ROIC differently, limiting the usefulness of the measure for comparisons with other companies.

After-Tax Return on Invested Capital

(dollars in millions) (unaudited)

Trailing Twelve Months

Numerator

November 2, 2024 (a)

October 28, 2023

Operating income

$         5,964

$           5,001

 + Net other income

105

79

EBIT

6,069

5,080

 + Operating lease interest (b)

157

106

   Income taxes (c)

1,403

1,050

Net operating profit after taxes

$         4,823

$           4,136

Denominator

November 2, 2024

October 28, 2023

October 29, 2022

Current portion of long-term debt and other borrowings

$         1,635

$           1,112

$         2,207

 + Noncurrent portion of long-term debt

14,346

14,883

14,237

 + Shareholders’ investment

14,489

12,514

11,019

 + Operating lease liabilities (d)

3,765

3,351

2,879

   Cash and cash equivalents

3,433

1,910

954

Invested capital

$       30,802

$         29,950

$       29,388

Average invested capital (e)

$       30,376

$         29,670

After-tax return on invested capital

15.9 %

13.9 %

(a)

The trailing twelve months ended November 2, 2024, consisted of 53 weeks compared with 52 weeks in the prior-year period.

(b)

Represents the add-back to operating income driven by the hypothetical interest expense we would incur if the property under our operating leases were owned or accounted for as finance leases. Calculated using the discount rate for each lease and recorded as a component of rent expense within Operating Income. Operating lease interest is added back to Operating Income in the ROIC calculation to control for differences in capital structure between us and our competitors.

(c)

Calculated using the effective tax rates, which were 22.5 percent and 20.3 percent for the trailing twelve months ended November 2, 2024, and October 28, 2023, respectively. For the twelve months ended November 2, 2024, and October 28, 2023, includes tax effect of $1.4 billion and $1.0 billion, respectively, related to EBIT, and $35 million and $22 million, respectively, related to operating lease interest.

(d)

Total short-term and long-term operating lease liabilities included within Accrued and Other Current Liabilities and Noncurrent Operating Lease Liabilities, respectively.

(e)

Average based on the invested capital at the end of the current period and the invested capital at the end of the comparable prior period.

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